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June 1, 2012 at 6:10 AM

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Friday wrap: Shooting politics; Breaking 1st District poll; Secretary of State; Legislative handicapping

Whew. Really rough week in Seattle.

Everyone is talking about the recent spate of shootings in our fair city. The mayor and police are holding press conferences. The City Council is talking up more and better gun control.

Today's question: Has Seattle changed, and what, if anything, will be the lasting impact of the violence on the 2013 mayor's race?

One election contest with real suspense on the Aug. 7 primary ballot is which candidates will advance to the November general election in the newly drawn 1st Congressional District?

A new poll released this morning by KING 5 News and conducted by SurveyUSA shows Republican John Koster and Democrat Darcy Burner leading the pack at this time.

In simplest terms, likely primary voters (cell and land-line) said if the election were held today (say, this week), 46 percent would vote for Koster and 19 percent would vote for Burner. A lot of voters were undecided:16 percent. Other candidates had pretty low numbers: Democrats Laura Ruderman, 6 percent; Suzan DelBene, 4 percent; Steve Hobbs, 4 percent, and Darshan Rauniyar, 1 percent. Independent Larry Ishmael posted 4 percent. The economy, the poll said, is the main issue on voters' minds.

Secretary of State Sam Reed Thursday officially endorsed Kim Wyman, Thurston County auditor, to replace himself as secretary of state. This echoes Reed's own experience when he first ran for the job.

Twelve years ago, then Secretary of State Ralph Munro endorsed Reed, also then the Thurston County auditor, for his job.

I wonder if folks a bit down ballot feel a need to anoint, appoint, endorse, whatever you want to call it. Is Thurston County auditor the unofficial launching pad for secretary of state?

Who will win the state House and Senate this fall? has a piece by Chris Vance, former state Republican Party chairman, handicapping legislative races and speculating on the likelihood of Republicans taking over either chamber. Gains? Yes. Takeover? Unlikely, says Vance.

I know what you are thinking. You suspect Vance, as former party chair, must be really biased. Yes, probably, but he is also very clear eyed about the upcoming contests. Take a look for yourself.

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Campaign contributions to state races

This table shows campaign contributions to each gubernatorial candidate. Click here for more info on other races.


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